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pp. 679-692 | Article Number: ijese.2017.046
Published Online: May 29, 2017
Abstract
In this study, using AIDS (Almost Ideal Demand System), we estimated direct and indirect welfare effects of economic sanctions on final consumers of (durable, semi-durable and non-durable) goods and services in Iran during 1981-2012 period. We also analyzed changes in consumer behavior due to sanctions. In order to analyze welfare effects, welfare criteria of Equivalent Variation (EV) and Compensating Variation (CV) were employed, and for testing behavior change, Marshall and Hicks criteria of elasticities were used. The results showed that: 1) the welfare effect rises when sanctions are removed (direct welfare effect). 2) As price of goods and services increases, welfare costs of final consumers and government get higher upon sanctions as compared to when they are removed (indirect welfare effect). 3) Sanctions created a structural failure in behavior pattern of final consumers of goods and services, so that influenced by sanctions, income, price and substitution elasticities of goods and services changed (change of consumers’ behavior pattern).
Keywords: Sanction, Welfare Effect, Equivalent Variations, Compensating Variations, Demand, Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS)
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